Monday, May 18, 2026

Galactic islands of tranquility: 'Little red dots' may have brewed life's building blocks - Astronomy & Space Astronomy - Astrobiology - UNIVERSE

Credit: CC0 Public Domain

Astronomers have found that both the core of our Milky Way and the earliest proto-galaxies in the universe share a surprising trait: They are unusually calm and quiet in terms of harsh radiation. This tranquility is not just a cosmic curiosity; it may be essential for forming complex molecules that provide the ingredients of life.

A new study published in The Astrophysical Journal Letters highlights how the Milky Way's center and mysterious early proto-galaxies known as "little red dots" (LRDs) harbor massive black holes within peaceful, dust- and gas-rich environments. These conditions create natural laboratories for prebiotic chemistry, suggesting that the universe may have supported life's chemical precursors far earlier than previously imagined.

The work was led by Professor Remo Ruffini and Professor Yu Wang from the International Center for Relativistic Astrophysics Network (ICRANet) and the Italian National Institute for Astrophysics (INAF).

Little red dots: Cosmic seeds with massive black holes

Not long ago, the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) began uncovering tiny red specks in its deep views of the early universe. Astronomers affectionately dubbed these specks "little red dots" (LRDs); they show up as faint, very red pinpoints of light in JWST's infrared images. What are they? It turns out these are ultra-compact protogalaxies from a time when the universe was only a few percent of its current age.

They are just a few hundred light-years across in radius; for comparison, our Milky Way spans over 100,000 light-years. Despite their small size, LRDs hold a big surprise: Evidence suggests many of them contain a central black hole of millions of solar masses, similar in mass to the one in the Milky Way's core. In other words, these are like miniature galaxies built around an outsized black hole.

The discovery of such massive black holes inside tiny, early galaxies came as a major surprise. One emerging interpretation is that LRDs represent galactic "seeds," early building blocks in which the central black hole may constitute the observed significant fraction of the galaxy's total mass, at the level of tenths of a percentage point. This is in sharp contrast to normal massive galaxies like the Milky Way, where the central black hole contributes only a minuscule fraction of the total mass, typically below 0.01%.

In addition, the origin of the apparent abundance of million-solar-mass black holes in the early universe challenges the standard models of black hole growth and galaxy assembly, which currently is a highly compelling research topic. Motivated by this problem, the authors of this work were led to compare LRDs with the Milky Way's central black hole, and in a separate study (Ruffini & Vereshchagin, 2025) they proposed that direct collapse of a self-gravitating fermion system could provide a viable formation channel for these early massive black holes.

Crucially, these little red dots don't radiate like one might expect for a young galaxy with a big black hole. They glow warmly in optical, but are dim in energetic light such as X-rays. That was our first clue that something about them is different; they seemed to lack the high-energy radiation usually associated with growing black holes or rampant star formation. In fact, their properties look intriguingly similar to the center of our own Milky Way. To understand why that matters, let's first look at what makes the Milky Way's core special.

A peaceful heart: The Milky Way's surprisingly calm core

The Milky Way is a giant spiral galaxy bustling with stars, but at its very heart lies a region of unexpected calm. Nestled there is a supermassive black hole called Sagittarius A*, about 4 million times the mass of our sun. You might think a black hole of that size would dominate our sky with violent energy, but actually Sagittarius A* is practically dormant. It's currently eating (accreting) so little material that it shines at less than a billionth of its theoretical maximum luminosity. Unlike a quasar or other active galactic nuclei, our black hole isn't firing off jets or intense X-ray bursts into space. It's quiet, an astronomical gentle giant.

Because the black hole is so quiescent, the environment around it is unexpectedly calm and cool. The innermost region of the Milky Way is dominated by a dense concentration of interstellar clouds known as the central molecular zone (CMZ), rich in cold gas and dust. Observations of the galactic center do not reveal the ionized, high-velocity outflows typical of a powerful active nucleus. Instead, they show mainly low-energy emissions and clear signatures of ongoing star formation and nebular structures. Together, these observations paint a picture of a tranquil galactic core.

Cosmic quietude fosters complex chemistry

Why do astronomers care that a galaxy's center is quiet in an electromagnetic sense? Because in the absence of harsh radiation, molecules can survive and thrive. Many of the building blocks of life, organic molecules like water, methanol, nitriles, amino acids and so on, are fragile, easily broken apart by energetic UV light or X-rays. These molecules tend to form in cold, dark environments such as dust grains inside molecular clouds, but a blast of radiation can dissociate them in an instant. A peaceful core like the Milky Way's means those clouds are shielded from destructive rays and can become rich chemical factories.

In our Milky Way's CMZ, astronomers have indeed found a rich inventory of complex organic molecules floating in space. One striking example comes from a cloud called G+0.693-0.027, only a few light-years from the galactic center. This cloud is cold (~100 Kelvin) and dense and notably has no new stars forming inside (so it's not flooded with UV starlight). Within that cloud, researchers detected nitriles, the organic molecules containing a cyanide group (–C≡N). Nitriles are precursors to RNA nucleotides, the building blocks of RNA, which is a crucial biomolecule for life as we know it. In other words, these are prebiotic molecules, the kind that could eventually help form the first genetic material for life.

It's astonishing to think of an RNA precursor floating in a cloud at our galaxy's center. And that's not all; scientists suspect that many of the organic compounds we find in meteorites or comets in our solar system were cooked up in such interstellar clouds before becoming incorporated into young planetary systems. According to the "RNA world" hypothesis, for instance, some essential molecules for life's origin might have been delivered to early Earth by comets and meteorites, effectively jump-starting prebiotic chemistry on our planet. The Milky Way's tranquil core may have been one of the cosmic kitchens where these ingredients were prepared, protected by its calm conditions, long before Earth formed.

Life's ingredients brewing in the early universe

If complex organics could form in the Milky Way's core, could the same be happening (or have happened) in those tiny red proto-galaxies 13 billion years ago? The new study suggests the answer is probably yes.

In the little red dots, compact, dust-enshrouded nuclei can maintain cold molecular cloud conditions, with temperatures only a few tens of kelvin above absolute zero. In this cold environment, atoms and simple molecules readily stick to dust grains and remain there long enough to react. Meanwhile, the very high densities of gas and dust provide abundant raw material, and the grains act as microscopic reaction surfaces, allowing simple ices to build up step by step into larger organic molecules.

Most importantly, little red dots do not show evidence for strong ultraviolet or X-ray radiation, so fragile molecules are less likely to be destroyed and instead can survive, accumulate, and continue evolving over long periods. Taken together, these features make LRDs quiet, dust-rich chemical laboratories on galactic scales, where prebiotic molecules could plausibly form even in the early universe.

The notion that life's ingredients might have been brewing in the universe's earliest galaxies is a profound shift in perspective. Previously, many scientists assumed that complex organic chemistry on a large scale required several generations of stars, and a fairly quiescent niche like a mature galaxy's molecular cloud, to evolve. The early universe, by contrast, is often pictured as harsh and intense: blazing young stars, frequent supernovae, and galaxies colliding in a frenzy of formation. It's not exactly the kind of scene where you'd expect delicate molecules to survive. But the little red dots hint at pockets of calm amid the chaos even when the universe was in its infancy.

These LRD protogalaxies were common in the young universe; it means the ingredients for life might have been assembled far earlier and more widely than we thought. As the universe evolved, some of these tiny galaxies likely merged or were incorporated into larger galaxies. During these processes, the organic molecules from LRDs would have been spread across space, seeding the surroundings with prebiotic material.

Think of it this way: Galactic structures might have influenced biology before biology even existed. Our own existence may owe something to the fact that the Milky Way's black hole went quiet, allowing a rich chemical soup to simmer in the darkness. Now imagine that many such soups simmering across the young cosmos. The cosmic budget of prebiotic molecules could have been quite significant early on, long before there were planets to host life. This radically expands the timeline and locations for the origin of life's ingredients. It suggests that the universe was biologically fertile in potential, almost from the outset.

Of course, the connection between galactic cores and actual life is still speculative. Complex organic molecules are a far cry from living organisms. But to find them in unexpected places and times bridges the gap between astronomy and biology. It means the story of life is not isolated to Earth or even to planetary systems; it's intertwined with the story of galaxies and stars. It's like discovering that galaxies have been "baking the bread" of life's recipe and scattering it around, ready to be incorporated into new worlds.

This discovery relies on data from the James Webb Space Telescope, operated by the Space Telescope Science Institute (STScI), which is a member of the International Center for Relativistic Astrophysics (ICRA). 

Provided by International Center for Relativistic Astrophysics Network 

Source: Galactic islands of tranquility: 'Little red dots' may have brewed life's building blocks 

AI-powered electrocardiogram detects early signs of heart failure - medicalxpress

Credit: CC0 Public Domain

Interpreting relatively inexpensive electrocardiograms (ECGs) with an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm accurately screened patients for a key precursor of heart failure in Kenya, a study led by UT Southwestern Medical Center researchers shows. The results, published in JAMA Cardiology, suggest AI-augmented ECG (AI-ECG) analysis could be a potential low-cost strategy for identifying patients who have underlying impairment in heart function.

"These findings support AI-ECG as a practical, scalable screening tool that can effectively identify individuals at risk for heart failure in resource-limited settings where access to echocardiography is constrained, addressing a critical gap in global cardiovascular care," said Ambarish Pandey, M.D., Associate Professor of Internal Medicine in the Division of Cardiology and in the Peter O'Donnell Jr. School of Public Health at UT Southwestern. He has a secondary appointment in Internal Medicine's Division of Geriatric Medicine.

In addition to Dr. Pandey, the study's primary lead author, other investigators included Neil Keshvani, M.D., Adjunct Assistant Professor of Internal Medicine at UT Southwestern, and Bernard Samia, M.B.Ch.B., M.Med., M.P.H., consultant physician and cardiologist at M.P. Shah Hospital in Kenya and President of the Kenya Cardiac Society.

Heart failure, a chronic condition in which the heart is unable to pump enough blood to meet the body's needs, is on the rise globally. The burden is particularly severe in sub-Saharan Africa, where health care resources are limited and patients develop heart failure at younger ages and face worse outcomes despite having fewer complicating conditions compared with patients in developed countries.

Before suffering heart failure, many patients develop precursor conditions such as left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD), in which the heart's left ventricle doesn't pump blood effectively. Echocardiograms, which create images of the heart using ultrasound, are the gold standard for diagnosing LVSD and other heart failure antecedents, Dr. Pandey said. But these tests are extraordinarily expensive, and developing countries typically lack the equipment and expertise to perform them, he added.

To address this disparity, Dr. Pandey and his colleagues evaluated the use of AI-ECG, in which a typical ECG—a test of the heart's electrical function—is enhanced by an AI algorithm that searches for evidence of LVSD and other heart failure precursors. AI-ECG has shown promising results when tested in developed countries; it has rarely been evaluated in a developing country.

The team recruited nearly 6,000 patients seeking routine clinical care from eight health care facilities in Kenya to receive AI-ECG. A subset of this group, totaling 1,444 patients, also received echocardiograms to verify their AI-ECG results.

The AI algorithm identified LVSD in 14.1% of those who also received echocardiograms. AI-ECG had a 99.1% negative predictive value, meaning nearly all patients whose results reflected no evidence of LVSD were confirmed negative by echocardiography.

Positive AI-ECG screening in the study was strongly associated with other markers of adverse cardiac remodeling, including left ventricular hypertrophy and diastolic dysfunction. The algorithm demonstrated a high level of sensitivity, correctly identifying 95.6% of people who had LVSD, while also showing high specificity in accurately identifying 79.4% of people who did not have the condition.

The authors said their findings support the use of AI-ECG as a screening tool for LVSD in resource-limited settings where systematic echocardiographic screening is not feasible. 

Provided by UT Southwestern Medical Center 

Source: AI-powered electrocardiogram detects early signs of heart failure 

Saturday, May 16, 2026

NASA’s Perseverance Rover Snaps Selfie in Mars’ Western Frontier - UNIVERSE

NASA’s Perseverance looks down at a rocky outcrop nicknamed “Arathusa” and then appears to look into the camera in this animated selfie, which is composed of 61 images taken March 11, 2026, during the rover’s deepest push west beyond Jezero Crater.

NASA/JPL-Caltech/MSSS

Editor’s note: The text was updated on March 13, 2026, to correct the spelling of the outcrop nicknamed “Arathusa.”

NASA’s Perseverance Mars rover recently took a self-portrait against a sweeping backdrop of ancient Martian terrain at a location the science team calls “Lac de Charmes.” Assembled from 61 individual images, the selfie shows Perseverance training its mast on a rocky outcrop on which it had just made a circular abrasion patch, with the western rim of Jezero Crater stretching into the background. The selfie was captured on March 11, the 1,797th Martian day, or sol, of the mission, during the rover’s deepest push west beyond the crater.  

Perseverance is in its fifth science campaign, known as the Northern Rim Campaign, of its mission on the Red Planet. The Lac de Charmes region represents some of the most scientifically compelling terrain the rover has visited.

NASA’s Perseverance captured this enhanced-color panorama of an area nicknamed “Arbot” on April 5, the 1,882nd Martian day, or sol, of the mission. Made of 46 images, the panorama offers one of the richest geological vistas of the rover’s mission, revealing a windswept landscape of diverse rock textures.

NASA/JPL-Caltech/ASU/MSSS

“We took this image when the rover was in the ‘Wild West’ beyond the Jezero Crater rim — the farthest west we have been since we landed at Jezero a little over five years ago,” said Katie Stack Morgan, Perseverance’s project scientist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Southern California. “We had just abraded and analyzed the ‘Arathusa’ outcrop, and the rover was sitting in a spot that provided a great view of both the Jezero Rim and the local terrain outside of the crater.” 

During abrading, the rover grinds down a portion of the rock’s surface, allowing the science team to analyze what’s inside. The technique enabled the team to determine that the Arathusa outcrop is composed of igneous minerals that likely predate the formation of Jezero Crater. Igneous rocks with large mineral crystals form underground as molten rock cools and solidifies. Perseverance acquired the selfie — its sixth since landing on Mars in 2021 — using the WATSON (Wide Angle Topographic Sensor for Operations and eNgineering) camera mounted at the end of its robotic arm, which made 62 precision movements over approximately one hour to build the composite image (learn more about how selfies are made).

Significant science

Along with the selfie, Perseverance used Mastcam-Z, located on its mast, to capture a mosaic of the “Arbot” area in Lac de Charmes on April 5, or Sol 1882. Made of 46 images, the panorama offers one of the richest geological vistas of the mission, revealing a windswept landscape of diverse rock textures.  

The image provides the team a clear road map for investigating the ridgeline and the area’s ancient rock variety, including what appear to be megabreccia — large fragments (some the size of skyscrapers) hurled by a massive meteorite impact that occurred on the plain called Isidis Planitia about 3.9 billion years ago. 

“What I see in this image is excellent exposure of likely the oldest rocks we are going to investigate during this mission,” said Ken Farley, Perseverance’s deputy project scientist at Caltech in Pasadena. “There is a sharp ridgeline visible in the mosaic whose jagged, angular texture contrasts starkly with the rounded boulders in the foreground. We also see a feature that may be a volcanic dike, a vertical intrusion of magma that hardened in place and was left standing as the softer surrounding material eroded away over billions of years.”  

The rock color in the mosaic offers less information to the science team than the distinctive textures, which help them differentiate the rock types. Unlike Jezero Crater’s river delta, which is composed of sedimentary rock, some rocks here appear to be extrusive igneous rocks (molten rock that reached the surface as lava flows) and impactites (rocks created or modified by a meteorite impact) believed to have formed before the crater about 4 billion years ago, offering a window into the planet’s deep early crust. 

New ballgame, near-marathon distance

“The rover’s study of these really ancient rocks is a whole new ballgame,” said Stack Morgan. “These rocks — especially if they’re from deep in the crust — could give us insights applicable to the entire planet, like whether there was a magma ocean on Mars and what initial conditions eventually made it a habitable planet.” 

After studying Arathusa, Perseverance drove northwest to the Arbot area, where it has been analyzing other rocky outcrops. When the team is satisfied with the work accomplished there, the rover will drive south to “Gardevarri,” a site with a notably clear exposure of olivine-bearing rocks. Formed in cooling magma, these types of rocks contain information that can help scientists better understand Mars’ volcanic history and provide context for large-scale geological processes. From there, the rover is expected to head southeast toward a region the team is calling “Singing Canyon” for more insights into the planet’s early crust.  

After more than five years of surface operations, Perseverance has abraded 62 rocks, collected 27 rock cores in its sample tubes (25 sealed, 2 unsealed), and traveled almost 26 miles (42 kilometers) — in other words, just shy of a marathon (26.2 miles, or 42.195 kilometers).  

“Having the benefit of four previous rover missions, the Perseverance team has always known our mission was a marathon and not a sprint,” said acting Perseverance project manager Steve Lee at JPL. “We’ve almost reached marathon distance. Our selfie may show that the rover is a bit dusty, but its beauty is more than skin deep. Perseverance is in great shape as we continue our explorations and extend into ultramarathon drive distances.” 

Source: NASA’s Perseverance Rover Snaps Selfie in Mars’ Western Frontier  - NASA 

Scientists develop near-invisible solar cells that could turn windows into power generators - Energy & Green Tech - Hi Tech & Innovation

NTU Assoc Prof Annalisa Bruno seeing through the ultrathin perovskite solar cell which is just 10 nanometers. Credit: Nanyang Technological University

Imagine a car whose windows and sunroof can help top up its battery while parked under the sun, or a pair of smart glasses whose lenses can harvest light to power built-in electronics.

Such applications could become more feasible with a new type of ultrathin transparent solar cell developed by scientists from Nanyang Technological University, Singapore (NTU Singapore).

Led by Associate Professor Annalisa Bruno, the NTU researchers created perovskite solar cells that are about 10,000 times thinner than a strand of human hair and around 50 times thinner than conventional perovskite solar cells.

Despite their thinness, the devices achieved some of the highest power conversion efficiencies reported for ultrathin perovskite solar cells to date.

Published in the journal ACS Energy Letters, their findings could pave the way for solar cells that can be integrated into buildings, vehicles and wearable devices without significantly changing their appearance.

Because the new solar cells are semi-transparent and color-neutral, they could potentially be incorporated into windows and façades without significantly changing how a building looks.


NTU research fellow Dr Daniela De Luca examining a prototype ultrathin perovskite solar cell in the vacuum chamber in the lab. Credit: Nanyang Technological University

"The built environment accounts for roughly 40% of global energy consumption, so technologies that seamlessly convert buildings' surfaces into power-generating assets are gaining urgency," said Assoc Prof Bruno, who is from NTU's School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences and School of Materials Science and Engineering.

"Our perovskite solar cells offer distinct advantages as they can be manufactured using simple processes at relatively low temperatures. They can also be tuned to absorb specific wavelengths while remaining transparent, and could potentially be scaled over large areas, reducing their carbon footprint," added Prof Bruno, who is also Cluster Director, Renewables & Low-Carbon Solutions and Energy Storage, Energy Research Institute at NTU.

Unlike conventional silicon solar cells, these perovskite-based devices are capable of generating electricity even under indirect sunlight and diffuse light conditions. This makes it particularly suited for Singapore's urban environment, where vertical building surfaces and frequent cloud cover often limit direct solar exposure.

As an example, if the technology were scaled up while maintaining similar performance, large glass façades could be transformed into active surfaces for solar power generation.

Preliminary estimates suggest that a deployment across a major glass-fronted building, such as an office tower at Raffles Place or Marina Bay, could theoretically generate several hundred megawatt-hours of electricity annually.

Depending on the usable glass area and building orientation, this level of energy generation would be equivalent to the annual electricity consumption of about 100 four-room HDB flats.

Manufacturing near-invisible solar cells

Perovskite solar cells are made up of several layers, including a semiconductor layer that absorbs sunlight and converts it into electricity.

To make the ultrathin cells, the NTU team used an industrially compatible method known as thermal evaporation. In this process, source materials are heated in a vacuum chamber until they evaporate. The vapor then settles on a surface, where it forms a thin film.

The method allows very thin and uniform perovskite layers to be deposited over large areas. It also avoids the use of toxic solvents and helps reduce defects in the solar cells, improving their ability to convert light into electricity.

By adjusting the process, the researchers were able to control the thickness of the perovskite layer and create both opaque and semi-transparent devices.

The team believes this is the first time ultrathin perovskite solar cells have been made entirely using vacuum-based processes. This could make the technology more suitable for large-scale industrial production in the future.

Using the technique, the researchers produced ultrathin perovskite absorber layers down to 10 nanometers while retaining useful solar-cell performance.

In opaque devices, the cells achieved power conversion efficiencies of about 7%, 11% and 12% for perovskite layers measuring 10, 30 and 60 nanometers respectively.

A semi-transparent cell with a 60-nanometer-thin perovskite layer allowed about 41% of visible light to pass through, while converting sunlight into electricity at 7.6% efficiency.

The researchers said this is among the best reported performances for semi-transparent perovskite solar cells made with similar materials.

This will allow daylight to pass through while still generating a useful amount of electricity, which is important for applications such as solar windows, glass façades and tinted building surfaces.

First author of the paper, Dr. Luke White, a former Ph.D. student at the Energy Research Institute at NTU, the School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, and the School of Materials Science and Engineering, said, "By precisely controlling thermal evaporation, we are able to adjust the transparency of the solar cells. This opens up new possibilities for sustainable architecture, such as tinted windows that generate electricity."

Giving an independent comment, Professor Sam Stranks, Professor of Energy Materials and Optoelectronics, Department of Chemical Engineering and Biotechnology, University of Cambridge, said, "This approach offers a high level of control over film thickness and uniformity, which will be needed if semi-transparent solar cells are to move towards larger-area applications."

"Semi-transparent perovskite solar cells are an exciting route to harvesting energy from surfaces that are difficult to use with conventional silicon panels, such as windows, façades and lightweight electronics.

"The results reported here show a promising balance between transparency and power generation in very thin devices, while the next critical tests will be long-term stability, durability and performance over larger areas."

Powering sustainable cities

Prof Bruno is a pioneer in the field of perovskite solar cells. Her earlier work on thermally evaporated perovskite solar cells has been scaled up, advancing the field of perovskite solar cells and paving the way for industry adoption.

Her innovations are supported by the NTU Innovation and Entrepreneurship initiative, which helps research teams accelerate and translate promising ideas from laboratories to commercialization.

A patent for the development of the ultrathin perovskite films in a novel structure has been filed through NTUitive, the University's innovation and enterprise company.

The researchers are now in talks with companies to validate and standardize the thermal evaporation process used in this study. They will also work to improve the long-term stability, durability and large-area performance of the perovskite solar cells before they can be commercially deployed.

As cities become denser and electricity demand grows, buildings are increasingly being seen not just as energy consumers, but as potential sources of clean energy.

Solar panels are already widely used on rooftops. But the vertical surfaces of buildings, including windows and glass façades, remain largely untapped.

Their breakthrough marks an important step towards transparent solar cells that can be integrated into everyday surfaces, from building windows to vehicles and wearable electronics, helping cities generate more clean energy without requiring additional land. 

Provided by Nanyang Technological University 

Source: Scientists develop near-invisible solar cells that could turn windows into power generators

Wildfire smoke's hidden ozone threat may be adding thousands of US deaths each year - Earth - Environment

Ground-level ozone in the form of smog, shown here in Denver, can affect human health post wildfires, even if the smoke from fires is not visible. Credit: NREL

A study that assesses the effects of wildfires over two decades shows that wildfire smoke significantly raises ground-level ozone and contributes to excess deaths from wildfire smoke in the United States each year. The research, led by Minghao Qiu, Ph.D., of Stony Brook University, is published in Science Advances.

Why ozone from fires matters

Previous research about wildfire smoke, its health risks, and impact on excess deaths, has largely overlooked ozone and concentrated more on dangerous particulates emitted from fires. Ozone is invisible, but it is a strong oxidant. When humans are exposed to more ozone it is linked to several health issues such as respiratory and cardiovascular problems, reduced cognitive performance, as well as increased mortality.

"As we move further into spring and then summer, wildfires will most likely increase in the United States and all of North America, and scientists should be thinking about the effects of increased ozone from fires in addition particulates emitted into the air," says Qiu, corresponding author, Assistant Professor in the School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences (SoMAS), and Core Faculty Member of the Program in Public Health at Stony Brook University. The study is led by Yangmingkai Li, who was a visiting undergraduate researcher in Qiu's group at SoMAS.

Surface O3 concentrations increase on smoke days across the US. Credit: Science Advances (2026). DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aec2903

How the team measured ozone changes

Qiu says that scientists have primarily focused on wildfire impacts on particulate matter pollution but have not had a systematic understanding on wildfire effects on ozone over the U.S. This study combined nearly two decades of surface ozone measurements (2006 to 2023), meteorological data, and satellite data using machine learning models to quantify the changes in surface ozone concentration during fire episodes across the continental U.S.

They also used the satellite-based National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Hazard Mapping System (HMS) smoke plume product to determine smoke days and compare surface ozone measurements across smoke days and non-smoke days while controlling for ambient temperature and ultraviolet radiation.

Using the compiled data and machine learning models, the researchers discovered that wildfire smoke raised ground-level ozone and boosts daily ozone by as much as 16% in some U.S. regions—such as the eastern part of the country and Midwest—an amount significant enough to increase illnesses and deaths caused in part by smoke from fires. The team also estimates that wildfire smoke ozone increases excess U.S. deaths per year by more than 2,000.

Hidden risks and vulnerable groups

Qiu emphasizes that two important concepts are critical to their results: (1) The true health effects and death toll from wildfire smoke are likely higher than previously thought, given that prior research has not factored in ozone exposure, and (2) Even days with relatively good visibility post wildfires—may still contain the unseen ozone from the fires that harm health, because particulate matter pollution and ozone pollution do not often overlap.

In this study, some of the exposure-response functions are specifically derived from data on the elderly population. Therefore, the researchers only estimated and reported mortality for people ages 65 and over for consistency.

The research team also points out that their findings related to ozone level increases from wildfires are another hurdle that erodes clean-air progress, partially canceling out long-term declines in ozone levels and ozone mortality nationwide. 

Provided by Stony Brook University 

Source: Wildfire smoke's hidden ozone threat may be adding thousands of US deaths each year