This animation shows how, following a massive earthquake off Russia on
July 29, 2025, GUARDIAN flagged an incoming wave west of Hawaii some 32 minutes
before it made landfall and was detected by tide gauges (shown in blue).
Credit: NASA’s Scientific Visualization Studio
A new data visualization
illustrates how an experimental NASA technology can provide extra lead time to
communities in the path of a tsunami. Called GUARDIAN (GNSS Upper Atmospheric
Real-time Disaster Information and Alert Network), the software detects slight
distortions in satellite navigation signals to spot hazards on the move..
The animation breaks down a
real-life case study: last summer’s massive Kamchatka earthquake and the tsunami that it sent racing
across the Pacific and towards Hawaii at over 500 mph (805 kph).
The visualization shows the
magnitude 8.8 earthquake (seen in purple) strike off the Russian coast on July
29, 2025, triggering the tsunami. The red, orange, yellow, and green ringlets
represent real-time readings from ground stations tracking GPS and other
navigational satellite signals. The disturbances were spotted by GUARDIAN’s
artificial intelligence-powered detection algorithms as soon as eight minutes
after the earthquake.
For the next several hours, signs
of the tsunami were picked up by GUARDIAN across the Pacific Ocean in near real
time. The system flagged an incoming wave off the coast of Kauai some 32
minutes before it made landfall and was detected by tide gauges (shown in
blue).
The results highlight GUARDIAN’s
potential to augment existing early warning systems, said Camille Martire, one
of its developers at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Southern California.
Currently, determining whether an
earthquake generated a tsunami remains a challenge. Forecasters rely on seismic
data and computer simulations to make their best prediction, then wait for
pressure sensors attached to the ocean floor to confirm a passing wave. Those
sensors work well but are expensive and thinly dispersed. Gaps in coverage
remain. And in those gaps, warning time disappears.
The GUARDIAN approach is
complementary and cost effective because it monitors existing data from GPS and
other constellations that make up the Global Navigation Satellite System. It’s also free to access, though for now best suited
to analysts trained to interpret its findings.
How GUARDIAN works
All day, every day, geopositioning
constellations transmit radio signals to ground stations around the globe. On
the ground, the data is refined to sub-decimeter (less than 10 centimeters)
positioning accuracy by JPL’s Global Differential
GPS System. Before the signals get there, however, they must travel through an
electrically charged skin of plasma called the ionosphere.
Solar storms and other space
weather can wreak electrical mayhem in the ionosphere, and so can events on
Earth. Tsunamis and earthquakes, by displacing large amount of air at Earth’s
surface, unleash pressure waves that can slightly perturb the radio signals
coming down from satellites. While systems are in place to correct for this
“noise,” GUARDIAN considers it a useful signal.
Currently, GUARDIAN scours data
from more than 350 GNSS ground stations around the Pacific Ring of Fire, a
hotbed for the ocean’s deadliest waves. And the system is not confined to
tsunamis. Earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, missile tests, spacecraft reentries,
meteoroid splashdowns — anything that produces a large rumble on Earth is
potentially fair game. While the Kamchatka event didn’t cause widespread damage
to people or property, it showed how the next time disaster strikes, NASA
science could give communities a few more minutes to act.
GUARDIAN is being developed at JPL
by the GDGPS project, which is partially supported by NASA’s Space Geodesy
Project.
To learn more, visit: https://guardian.jpl.nasa.gov/


