Researchers found when the atmosphere
was calm and skies clear, sulfate aerosol reduction made the biggest difference
to coral bleaching. Credit: One Tree Island/ Robert Ryan
Air pollution is now recognized as
one of the greatest threats to human health, contributing to an estimated 4.2
million premature deaths in 2019, according to the World Health Organization.
In and around port cities, ships are a major air pollution source. So, in 2020, the International Maritime Organization
(IMO) took significant action to reduce air pollution and protect
human health.
The IMO placed heavy restrictions
on the amount of sulfur allowed in shipping fuel because it produces sulfur
dioxide (SO₂) and sulfate particulate matter, which are linked to respiratory issues like asthma,
wheezing and chest tightness.
They also cause environmental
impacts through acid rain, which damages forests, crops and waterways.
The IMO policy has been successful,
but has inadvertently introduced a new environmental problem: fewer particles in the atmosphere mean more of the sun's energy reaches the oceans.
Our new study, published in the journal Communications Earth
& Environment, shows that this effect is also likely exacerbating coral
bleaching at Australia's Great Barrier Reef.
How ship exhaust impacts the climate
Ships are the largest human-made source of sulfate
aerosol over the
world's oceans.
While these tiny particles can be
harmful, they have the protective ability to reflect
sunlight back to
space. They can also help form clouds, which also reflect sunlight, helping
cool the sea surface.
Since 2020, the IMO's mandate that shipping fuel must contain less than 0.5%
sulfur, reduced sulfate aerosol from ships by about 80%.
But as the air became cleaner, the
oceans suddenly began receiving more of the sun's radiation.
Sulfate aerosol reduction has been linked to other startling consequences,
including reducing lightning and accelerating global temperature
increases.
Coral reefs have recently been
identified as the first global tipping point to be exceeded by climate change.
So, our research team wanted to
specifically understand what the change in ship sulfate means for Australia's
Great Barrier Reef.
More sunshine means more stress for corals
Coral bleaching is caused by heat,
when warming oceans push corals beyond their thermal tolerance, causing them to
expel the symbiotic algae they rely on for food and color.
Extra sunlight on the ocean surface
warms the water even further and increases stress in
the corals, especially during hot, calm and stagnant conditions (sometimes referred
to as "doldrum conditions").
To understand the impact of the
IMO's sulfur reduction on the Great Barrier Reef, we used a regional
chemistry-climate model to calculate how much extra sunlight reached the ocean surface
leading up to the 2022
mass bleaching event.
Under the IMO's sulfur
restrictions, we found that sulfate aerosol from ships masked around three
watts per square meter (W/m²) of incoming solar radiation.
If the same event had occurred
prior to the ship sulfur regulations, sulfur aerosols would have masked 14 W/m²
of solar radiation.
This means that up to a whopping 11
W/m² extra solar radiation reached the Reef through cleaner air.
The additional radiation equates to
a sea surface temperature increase of 0.15°C, or an approximate 10% increase in
coral bleaching severity.
And this is just the impact of
local shipping—globally, cleaner ship fuels are expected to double the rate of
global warming this decade, unmasking the heat from the greenhouse gases we've continued adding to
the world's oceans.
Weather conditions matter
Our study also found that the
impact of the local sulfur reduction on the reef wasn't the same for all
weather conditions.
Periods dominated by cloud cover
and strong south-easterly trade winds saw aerosols transported away from the
reef more efficiently.
In these cases, the influence of
ship emissions on the reef was much weaker.
However, when the atmosphere was
calm and skies were clear—with the coral at its most vulnerable—the sulfate
aerosol reduction made the biggest difference.
Increased urgency to consider novel interventions
The combined local and global
impacts of the new regulations likely mean more bleaching stress for the Great
Barrier Reef under cleaner air conditions.
Our research is also developing a
potential intervention that emulates aerosol cooling of the ocean cooling
effect using sea salt instead of sulfur.
Known as Marine
Cloud Brightening, nano-sized sea-salt crystals—produced by spraying seawater over the
ocean—make the clouds and sky more reflective, potentially mitigating severe coral bleaching.
Australia is leading the way in
researching this futuristic technology.
Modeling suggests that using this
technique over the Great Barrier Reef may delay
the decline of the ecosystem by decades, buying precious time to for serious
action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
The Great Barrier Reef is already
facing intense pressure from repetitive marine heat waves, with
mass bleaching recorded in six of the last eight summers.
But we also need to ensure that
everyone has access to clean air, because a healthy environment is a fundamental
human right.
For ecosystems vulnerable to
climate change and enhanced solar radiation, like the Great Barrier Reef,
action on air pollution must be matched by urgent greenhouse gas emission
reductions and accelerated research into scalable interventions.
Only by doing this can we support this world heritage-listed ecosystem to survive and thrive in a sustainable future.
Provided by University of
Melbourne
Source: Cleaner air is (inadvertently) harming the Great Barrier Reef

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