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abstract. Credit: Current Biology (2026). DOI: 10.1016/j.cub.2026.01.025
According to conventional wisdom, a great way to lose weight is to do some
exercise. While being active is beneficial in many ways for our health, it may
not be very helpful if you want to shed a few inches off your waistline. And
now, a new study published in Current
Biology offers an explanation for why.
For decades, scientists have used a simple mathematical formula to
calculate how much energy we use, which is essentially: Total Burn = Living
Cost + Exercise. This is known as the Additive Model, and it means that every
calorie you burn during a workout is simply added to the calories you use just
to stay alive.
So, for example, if you burn 2,000 calories a day during your normal
activities and then go for a run and burn 400 calories, you'll burn 2,400
calories in a day according to the formula. The thought has been that this
extra burn could lead to weight loss.
However, in recent years, another model has emerged called the Constrained Model. It says that our bodies have a
limit on how much energy they spend. So if we burn more calories through
exercise, the body reduces internal tasks, such as cell repair, to keep total
energy expenditure within a narrow, predictable range. It means that the extra
calories you thought you were burning at the gym are partially offset.
Comparing the models
Two researchers from Duke University in the U.S., Herman Pontzer and Eric
T. Trexler, decided to compare these two ideas to see which one is supported by
the data.
They analyzed 14 different studies involving 450 people who participated in
exercise programs, as well as several animal studies. By comparing the energy
these subjects were expected to burn with the energy they actually burned, the
scientists calculated how much the body was compensating. They also compared
data from different populations.
Their results suggested that the Additive Model often overestimates how
much total daily energy expenditure rises with exercise. Instead, they found
that as people and animals become more active, they may compensate by reducing
energy spent on other processes or activities.
Realities of burning calories
On average, about 72% of the calories burned during exercise are added to
the total daily burn. The remaining 28% may be offset through compensation.
However, this is partial. Exercise still increases total energy use, but less
than a simple additive calculation would predict. The researchers also noted
that the 28% figure is an average and varies widely between individuals.
"Humans and other animals respond to increased physical activity by
reducing energy expenditure on other tasks, supporting a constrained model of
energy expenditure," commented the researchers in their paper.
These findings may explain why exercise alone often leads to less weight loss than expected, and why diet plays such a key role.

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